IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.2	#290
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.3	#111
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#318

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#217

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.2%	8.6%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	44.8%	52.9%	25.0%
.500 or above in Conference	59.6%	65.2%	46.1%
Conference Champion	8.6%	10.6%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	3.9%	9.0%

First Four	2.9%	3.2%	2.3%
First Round	5.8%	7.0%	2.8%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 71.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 9	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	322	NC Central	W	70-64	71%
Nov 13, 2019	315	Niagara	W	79-74	67%
Nov 16, 2019	254	Drexel	W	75-74	54%
Nov 20, 2019	66	@ Rutgers	L	61-79	5%
Nov 26, 2019	3	@ Duke	L	62-92	0.3%
Nov 30, 2019	271	@ Arkansas St.	L	71-75	36%
Dec 06, 2019	45	@ Alabama	L	61-82	4%
Dec 14, 2019	223	Louisiana Monroe	L	71-72	47%
Dec 18, 2019	292	Houston Baptist	W	83-80	61%
Dec 21, 2019	316	@ McNeese St.	L	69-70	47%
Jan 02, 2020	299	@ SE Louisiana	L	66-68	42%
Jan 04, 2020	243	@ New Orleans	L	67-73	32%
Jan 08, 2020	291	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	67-64	60%
Jan 15, 2020	284	@ Central Arkansas	L	74-77	39%
Jan 18, 2020	344	Incarnate Word	W	74-65	79%
Jan 22, 2020	347	@ Northwestern St.	W	72-68	63%
Jan 25, 2020	281	@ Lamar	L	70-73	39%
Jan 29, 2020	286	Abilene Christian	W	68-65	60%
Feb 01, 2020	186	@ Sam Houston St.	L	66-74	25%
Feb 05, 2020	309	Nicholls St.	W	75-71	64%
Feb 08, 2020	243	New Orleans	W	71-70	51%
Feb 12, 2020	291	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	64-67	40%
Feb 19, 2020	284	Central Arkansas	W	77-74	59%
Feb 22, 2020	344	@ Incarnate Word	W	71-68	61%
Feb 26, 2020	347	Northwestern St.	W	75-65	79%
Feb 29, 2020	281	Lamar	W	73-70	59%
Mar 03, 2020	286	@ Abilene Christian	L	65-68	39%
Mar 07, 2020	186	Sam Houston St.	L	69-71	43%
Projected Record						13 - 15	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	2.4	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.1		8.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.4	2.9	2.7	1.4	0.5	0.1				9.2	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.7	3.4	3.0	0.9	0.2	0.0					9.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	1.5	4.0	3.0	0.8	0.1							9.5	4th
5th										0.1	1.2	3.8	3.1	0.7	0.1								8.9	5th
6th									0.1	0.9	3.4	3.3	0.7	0.0									8.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.6	3.0	3.9	1.1	0.1										8.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.6	2.6	3.5	1.2	0.1	0.0										8.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.4	2.1	3.4	1.5	0.2												7.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	1.7	3.1	1.6	0.2	0.0												7.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.5	1.4	2.5	1.5	0.3	0.0													6.2	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0														4.9	12th
13th	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0															3.2	13th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.6	2.6	4.0	5.9	7.6	8.6	9.2	10.1	10.0	9.8	8.6	7.6	5.5	3.9	2.4	1.2	0.5	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
18-2	95.2%	1.1		1.0	0.1	0.0
17-3	78.9%	1.9		1.5	0.3	0.0
16-4	60.6%	2.4		1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0
15-5	33.0%	1.8		0.6	0.8	0.4	0.0
14-6	10.1%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	8.6%	8.6		5.1	2.5	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		62.9%	62.9%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.5%		51.8%	51.8%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
18-2	1.2%		38.5%	38.5%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.7
17-3	2.4%		37.0%	37.0%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	1.5
16-4	3.9%		29.1%	29.1%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	2.8
15-5	5.5%		25.3%	25.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	4.1
14-6	7.6%		15.5%	15.5%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	6.4
13-7	8.6%		11.1%	11.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.9	7.7
12-8	9.8%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																0.0	0.5	9.3
11-9	10.0%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	9.8
10-10	10.1%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
9-11	9.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
8-12	8.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
7-13	7.6%																							7.6
6-14	5.9%																							5.9
5-15	4.0%																							4.0
4-16	2.6%																							2.6
3-17	1.6%																							1.6
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.2%	7.2%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	4.6	92.8		0.0%